Saturday, February 18, 2023

SMS Performance Evaluation

 SMS Performance Evaluation

By OffRoadPilots

Every operator with a safety management system (SMS) conducts regular SMS performance assessments of their systems. In a healthy performance environment, assessments are conducted daily within a quality control system. As a businesslike approach to safety, an SMS enterprise has an obligation to learn how their systems are performing, in the same manner as a business assess their cashflow daily. In a business the cashflow is the leftover after cash is received and cash paid. If a business's cash acquired exceeds its cash spent, it has a positive cash flow. A positive cash flow means more cash is coming in than going out, which is essential for a business to sustain long-term growth. This same principle goes for a healthy and sustainable long-term growth of a safety management system.

Conventional wisdom is that a healthy safety management system for airports or airlines, is a system without incidents, or a system with reduction of incidents over time. The question to answer with this approach is what is the next approach, or goal after the zero incidents goal is achieved. A goal must be attainable to be a valid goal, and an attainable goal is a goal with a proven tracking record. A zero incidents goal does not come with a proven tracking record. A major global air carrier states that they are committed to the highest standard of safety, and they expect the same standard of all their suppliers. Since there are no industry standards for the aviation industry of what the highest standard is, an airline or airport has an obligation to develop their own proprietary testing methods and stringent internal guidelines above and beyond regulatory requirements to ensure their services are held to the highest standard in safety.

Without a definition, or expectations of what the highest standard is, the standard could be anything an opinion desire and contracts terminated for any suppliers who are unable to comply with these opinions. When applying this approach, a safety management system may conform to regulatory compliance, but a contract agreement may be terminated if unable to comply with expectations. This was also the first approach taken by the regulator to make findings against expectations with the justification that an expectation was linked to a regulatory requirement.

When the safety management system was first implemented, a list of six components, seventeen elements and about 95 expectations were developed to assist operators to design processes that conformed to regulatory requirements. All elements of the SMS were linked to at least one regulation and divided into the following 17 elements.





Elements:

  • a safety policy,

  • non-punitive reporting policy,

  • roles and responsibilities & employee involvement,

  • communication,

  • safety planning,

  • performance measurement,

  • management review,

  • identification and maintenance of applicable regulations,

  • SMS documentation,

  • records management,

  • reactive processes, page2image59029728

  • proactive processes,

  • investigation and analysis,

  • risk management,

  • training, awareness & competence,

  • quality assurance, and

  • emergency preparedness & response.

    Within these 17 elements are about 95 expectations as guidance tools to maintain a successful SMS. Depending on size and complexity, a total of 154 expectations were later designed for airport operators to maintain a sustainable and long-term growth SMS.

    Expectations, policies and goals are non-action items, but are tools available in the toolbox for airport or airline operators to run a successful SMS. Without placing expectations as the first item of tools available for purchase, policies, goals, objectives and processes becomes unattainable. Since running an SMS is a businesslike approach to safety, expectations become units available for purchase (example: an expectation unit available is the purchase of a safety policy). Expectation purchased is the cost of the unit (example: the cost of a safety policy is to design and built goals). Developing, maintaining, maintenance and quality control of expectations purchased are the cost of associated actions (example: the cost of a goal is strategic planning of objectives to reach the goal). Conversion of objectives into processes is the value, or return on investment by an operator (example: the conversion of a goal to operate with a bare and dry runway during winterseasons is the value of an objective). Conversion of an objective into processes are goods and services provided to customers (example: a process to maintain a bare and dry runway is to design the 5-Ws + How; What, When, Where, Why, Who and How). As an advertising and marketing tool, processes are converted into procedures and acceptable work practices for targeting leads (example: Assign roles and responsibilities, and action items to operational personnel). When applying a businesslike approach to the SMS and working with a group of leads, the safety management system becomes a blueprint to design and develop sales presentations to convert leads into buyers.

A reduction in incidents or accidents is not a performance improvement or measurement of a safety management system since the outcome of an occurrence cannot be changed. That the number of operational incidents were decreasing annually is only a report stating that there was fewer incident during the last 12- month period than the previous period. Interpreting this information is not an interpretation of an SMS performance but is merely an emotional assessment of events.


The challenge when operating with a safety management system is to convert abstract information into tangible facts, or expectations into cash value. The only known performance measurement tool to measure businesses performance is to measure in cash value. The goal for a business is that there is more incoming cash than money going out, with an objective to operate with processes to make this goal attainable.

An SMS enterprise is obligated to perform SMS performance evaluation daily of their safety policy, their goalsetting process and attainment of these goals, a hazard identification process and evaluation of associated hazard, their process for training of personnel and evaluation of their competency, their internal reporting process, their hazard analysis process, their corrective action plan process, their SMS manual and communication processes to all personnel, including the accountable executive, a process for making personnel and associated contractors aware of their roles and responsibilities, a quality assurance program, an audit program of their safety management system with defined schedules, and any additional requirements for the safety management system that are prescribed under the regulations. One reason for daily observation of performance evaluations is to detect drift, or non-conforming process at an early stage.

When an SMS enterprise has established this platform they have established their foundation to convert SMS performance into cash-performance. More money spent on safety does not necessarily equate to a safer operational environment. It is how cash is allocated and distributed that makes the difference. The first step when evaluating their SMS performance is to operate with a daily quality control system. This system is the cash-register of a safety management system. Items sold and items purchased are registered in this system and assigned to an account with a regulatory requirement.

An SMS enterprise assessing their SMS system within a cashflow system, the complete purchase and cost of the entire SMS system is the annual cost of the SMS manager. The assumption is that the blueprints are completed, SMS designed and built to its completion. Incoming cash, such as landing fees, ticket purchases or freight revenue, can then be allocated to the SMS system and distributed to one of the expectation accounts. Over time a cashflow statement will generate an income or loss cashflow statement allocated to an expectation account. Operating with an SMS businesslike approach is no different than operating a general store where cashflow is allocated to separate accounts.

Establishing an SMS accounting system is the key to a successful SMS and opens the doors to evaluate SMS performance cashflow in SPC control chart environment. SPC control charts is a tool to make changes as needed to out of control processes, to make changes to the average in processes that are in control, or to allocate or remove expectations to the vital few processes that require attention.

OffRoadPilots


Saturday, February 4, 2023

The Inverted Iceberg

 The Inverted Iceberg

By IceRoadPilots

The iceberg effect is a variant of the Heinrich Pyramid developed in the 1930’s. Herbert W Heinrich put forward the following concept that, in a workplace, for every accident that causes a major injury, there are 29 accidents that cause minor injuries and 300 accidents that cause no injuries. The Heinrich Law was widely accepted by the global aviation industry as a risk analysis tool and incorporated into the safety management system.

The Heinrich Pyramid is commonly known as the safety pyramid, or the safety triangle, and indicates a relationship between major injuries, minor injuries, and near-misses. The Heinrich Pyramid concludes that injuries and incidents are caused by a human decision to perform an unsafe action, and that by lowering the number of minor injuries, businesses could reduce the total number of major injuries and incidents. While the most often cited figure would suggest an emphasis on human errors, Heinrich also suggested that workplaces focus on hazards, not just worker behavior.

Commonly known as the iceberg ignorance, a variant of the Heinrich Pyramid principle, was later designed as the Iceberg Model. In the iceberg model, only four out of every hundred operational problems are known to the accountable executive (AE), and 96% of issues, or hazards, are hidden from the AE. The foundation of the iceberg theory is that 100%, or all problems, are known to the frontline workers, being flight crew, mechanics, or airport personnel, while only 4% are known to the AE.

The iceberg concept principle is that all serious problems are the result of several smaller problems that went unnoticed or unmanaged. For every serious incident in the iceberg model there were 59 smaller incidents, and 600 minor conditions. Conventional wisdom is that an accountable executive, as the decision authority, needs to be more aware of minor issues and conditions and initiate actions to stop these issues or conditions before they lead to a serious incident. Preventing minor event to escalate into a full-scale disaster is one reason why the iceberg of ignorance matters to the AE, directors, supervisors, and frontline workers. An accountable executive need to make a concerted efforts to be aware of minor issues and conditions, and overcoming this issue happens primarily through changing the hazard reporting system requirements. There are several valid theories and conditions to the iceberg principles, but there is a major flaw, or finding, in the system when the system is relaying on that knowledge of every minor event or preventing minor events will stop future disasters from occurring.

When applying the near- miss principles from the Heinrich Pyramid, the Safety Pyramid, or the Iceberg Model, an SMS enterprise builds their SMS platform on a misconception that major accidents only occurs after several minor incidents or near-misses are identified. When operating within a human factors system, organizational system, supervision system and environmental system, each individual person within each system performs independent of the other persons. Tasks are performed individually in a 3D environment with tasks measured in time (speed), space (location), and compass (direction). A robot would complete the task within the same timeframe each time, it would initiate the task at the exact same location, and it would follow the exact same process every time. Within a mechanical production system, the outcome of a process produces the same outcome without learning from past errors. When relying on these two principles to establish SMS reliability, an SMS enterprise is placing themselves in a box that is very difficult to crawl out of. Several years ago, a flaw was discovered in compressor turbine disk by applying non-destructive testing of the CT disk. This test was the first test after the final production stage and after it had left the production line. The test discovered a flaw in the material and was reported. There was no safety management system reporting avenue at that time, just an inspection report. The time was also before the iceberg model was widely known and understood. This material flaw was the very first flaw in a CT disk that management new of. Applying the safety pyramid as the accepted standard, 300,000 unsafe acts would be required, followed by 600 reports, or near misses before 30 incidents would occur, then 10 serious incidents, and finally one major accident. There have been several CT disk failures in turbine engines, with Sioux City IA as a high-profile accident. This does not imply that the same or similar flaw was the cause, but that applying the safety pyramid principles keeps an SMS enterprise inside the box. Another question to answer is how does the production of a CT disk crate an unsafe act. Since the safety triangle is based on 300,000 unsafe acts, there must be an astronomical number of unsafe acts daily. 300,000 hours equals 12,500 days, or just over 34 years of systematic undetected unsafe acts. For unsafe acts to go undetected, they must be few and hidden within a system that only the front-line workers knows about. An example could be the speed at which large trucks travel. The opinion of an unsafe speed varies from person to person, and it vary between jurisdictions. Each jurisdiction has their own speed limit set for large trucks, with a justification for safety. Applying the logic in the safety pyramid, the lower the speed limit is, the faster number 300,000 is reached and time between major trucing accidents shortens.

Another example is the publishing of airport NOTAM (notice to airmen). An airport operator has a tool in their toolbox to publish NOTAM when there are issues, construction, or events at an airport. When a NOTAM is published, the airport must implement a counteraction to remain within the airport standards. I have seen this time after time, that airports publish NOTAM, but does not action their operations to remain in compliance with the regulations, airport standards, operational processes, or their SMS safety policy. Just recently, this winter, an airport operator was operating with a NOTAM for four days that the runway was 100% ice-covered, with 1/8 inch of dry snow on top of the ice. Their next NOTAM was 3 inches of snow on top of compacted snow. Since the temperature was well below freezing for several days, and the ice was not removed, ice was still the base surface condition, but went unreported. In addition to the ice and snow, the runway was not cleared to full width, but left 10 feet wide windrows, and 4 feet tall on each side of the runway. The runway remained open day and night with these conditions present. Again, applying the safety pyramid principle, an unsafe act four days out of the 180 days of winterseason, gives an airport operator unlimited opportunities to operate with unsafe conditions. An airport general operating limitation is one-half statute mile visibility. An airport operations manual is a legal reference document between the airport operator and the regulator with respect to level of service. When the visibility is below one-half statute mile, the airport must close to remain compliant with their legal document. Another example of unsafe airport operations condition is that this same airport remained open, day and night, with visibility below legal limit. When operating within a safety management system, an airport operator is required to ensure that their airport is suitable for the operations of an aircraft, and sometimes this may include closing of the airport. Eventually the evidence goes away, and the airport operator continues as nothing ever happened. Both examples are current and true stories. True stories are good examples to learn from but applying safety triangle principles keeps an airport operator together with the regulator inside a box that suits their comfort level and they have no reasons to crawl out of.

When applied by an SMS enterprise operating with processes to action unsafe conditions, non-regulatory compliance processes, and hazards identified as an immediate threat to aviation safety, the Heinrich Pyramid, the Frank Bird Safety Pyramid, or the Edward T. Hall Iceberg Principle are tools to maintain conformance with safety management system principles. When actions are applied to unsafe conditions, or non-conforming processes, these three triangles are turned 

inverted, since each unsafe, or non-conforming conditions become learning experiences to be addressed. When the triangles are inverted, other unsafe conditions and non-conformances, or conditions below the waterline also become visible. The reason why the global aviation industry needs their SMS, is to start chipping away of safety concerns that became visible when the triangles turned.

A compliance guidance document states it beautifully that an SMS enterprise needs to complete a review of the finding, or observation, and clearly identify what happened, how widespread it is within its own organization, where it occurred in the system and if it was a policy, process, procedure, or culture issue. It is not the intent for an SMS

enterprise to reiterate the finding or observation, but rather that they do a factual review of the observations as it applies to their own organization. Their review includes a description of relevant factual information related to the non- compliance, identification of the enterprise system that led to the non-compliance, and they identify policy, processes, procedures, practices or organizational culture involved.

Other operators may learn from observations or findings that are shared with them, but corrective action of events is an internal performance task applicable to a single, and specific organization only. In other words, sharing information is sharing information only, and it is not sharing of corrective action plans.

OffRoadPilots



Saturday, January 21, 2023

Line-Item Audits

 Line-Item Audits

By OffRoadPilots

Airports and airlines are required to conduct a triennial audit of the entire quality assurance program, calculated from the initial audit, or a series of audits conducted at intervals set out in their manual. There are two phases to a line-item audit. The first phase is a static regulatory compliance, which includes manuals, documents and records. A regulatory compliance audit is in a static environment, without movements or operational tasks. An example could be the runway surface inspection required by an airport stating that this will be done whenever there are changes to the runway conditions, such as snow, slush or standing water etc. This statement conforms to regulatory requirements. However, the important part is that processes in an operational environment also conforms to regulatory compliance. The second phase is process compliance.

A process defined in the safety management system (SMS) manual, are processes that are consistent with regulatory compliance. An example could be the runway surface condition, where the manual conforms, the process described in the operations plan conforms, and records verify that the process was completed, and result submitted. Records requirement for an airline or airport is that their recording systems which do not comprise entries on paper, including computer records, may be used to comply with the record-keeping requirements if measures are taken to ensure that the records contained in the recording systems are protected, by electronic or other means, against inadvertent loss or destruction and against tampering, and a copy of the records contained in the recording systems can be printed on paper.

Conducting a line-item audit begins with an audit of how an SMS enterprise recording systems are protected against inadvertent loss or destruction and against tampering, and if a copy of the records contained in the recording systems can be printed on paper. Paperformat systems written in ink maintain compliance to what level they conform to pre-established process for production sequence verification and the legibility, and includes production date and time. An electronic spreadsheet may be tampered with and may not be compliant unless there is an ongoing hourly or daily, depending on size and complexity, quality control of the system. Electronic systems stored and managed by a general internet technology manager, may have issues interfacing with operations in a secure environment and open the doors for tampering. Several SMS Enterprises make statement to the effect that nobody in their organization will tamper with SMS documentation. While this is true, two reasons to include tampering in the regulation is to preserve the integrity of SMS and in a representative sample of the population tampering happens, and titles or positions are not excluded from the population sample. A cloudbased third-party managing the SMS is the most reliable document and records storage and retrieval process, as long as the third-party is authorized by the accountable executive (AE) and included in their operations manual. Otherwise, it is possible for an operator to lose all data in the blink of an eye and operate with a non-conforming SMS. Non-conforming documents and records processes does not affect the rest of the audit, since an internal audit, or third- party independent audit are not regulatory findings, but are observations or opinions of non-conformances. The regulator is the only body with the authority to issues regulatory findings. An accountable executive may elect to temporarily pause the audit until a satisfactory result of the process integrity has been established.

An accountable executive is a person appointed to be responsible to the regulator for meeting the requirements of the regulations on behalf of the certificate holder. It is not an SMS manager, QA manager or airport manager who is responsible, it is the accountable executive. There is no personal liability associated with the position of an accountable executive as this individual represents the certificate holder. The certificate holder retains all liability for non-compliance with the regulations. At airports where the airport manager is the certificate holder, the airport manager may have accepted this liability. The appointment of an AE does not create an additional burden for operators, as the certificate holder has always been responsible for compliance. The appointment of an AE is primarily a matter of identifying the senior individual who will discharge the certificate holder’s responsibilities, and particular, lead the necessary cultural change.

With the appointment of an AE, a line-item audit becomes an audit of the accountable executive as opposed to an audit of the certificate holder. The outcome remains the same, but with an AE there is one person who is required to answer to internal audits, or regulatory findings. A third- party internal audit are observations and opinions only, while upon sharing an internal audit with the regulatory authority they become findings since the regulator is required to address any safety concerns reported to them.

When the SMS was first implemented by a regulatory requirement, an SMS enterprise was informed that the only responsibility for an accountable executive was to have control of the financial and human resources that are necessary for the activities and operations authorized under the certificate. However, control of financial and human resources are available resources to an accountable executive and are conditions a certificate holder must include in the AE job description to meet the requirements of the regulations.

The line-item audit tool is a tool available to verify that an accountable executive has their systems in place to ensure regulatory compliance. The first part of a line- item audit is to audit manuals for compliance. A manual makes references to standards, policies, processes, procedures, or acceptable practices, which also are audited by a line-item audit. A line-item audit is the most comprehensive and detailed audit available. Manuals and related references are audited in a static environment where an audit match manual text to regulatory references. The next step is the process audit, or to establish what level of regulatory compliance an SMS enterprise operates at. These levels are not scaled levels, but are levels to what deviation from expectations their processes produces. Visual levels of conformance may be published by SPC control charts. A successful SMS includes expectations of outputs defined by the operator. A process without an expectation is only a wish for anything to come true.

A daily quality control system is a requirement for the accountable executive to meet the requirements of the regulation. Without daily knowledge of processes and systems performance, the AE does not have a tool to verify compliance. A simple way to look a this, is to compare SMS performance to cashflow performance, which is closed out daily. A daily quality control system include links in processes to conform to regulatory requirements. With this link, and when a process performs as expected, the regulatory requirement is met. This does not imply that the process cannot be changed but is to monitor if current processes are conforming.

A line-item audit of documents and processes is a supreme tool to ensure that the AE maintain compliance. The beauty of a line-item audit system is that future audits focus on changes in documents and processes. System compliance and monitoring are key factors to maintain a healthy safety management system.

OffRoadPilots


Saturday, January 7, 2023

When an Enterprise Quits SMS

 When an Enterprise Quits SMS

By OffRoadPilots

There are several ways to quit a safety management system (SMS) and an SMS enterprise may unintentionally or unknowingly have quit their SMS. A safety management system is an expensive system, requires hard work and the benefits are unknown, assumed, or abstract benefits. Benefits, if any, remain unknown since an SMS cannot tell the future, or make predications to what, where, where, why, who and how an incident will occur.

When a justification is presented to an SMS enterprise, a CAO, a CEO, or municipality, that SMS is expensive and without tangible results there is a strong temptation to accept these facts. There is no evidence that the SMS will cause a reduction of future accidents, incidents or hazards, there is no evidence of higher return on investment, and there is no evidence that an SMS has

produced better qualified flight crew, maintenance crew or airport personnel. That an enterprise quits SMS does not imply that they abolish their SMS program, but that it is possible to operate an ineffective SMS by while producing desired results.


A crucial question to answer for an airline or airport to operate with a successful SMS is “Why does the Global Aviation Industry, being Airlines or Airports, need a Safety Management System (SMS) today, when they were safe yesterday without an SMS?” The simple answer is that an SMS is needed to generate system analyses specific applicable to an airline or airport, and to have a road map when arriving at the fork in the road. An SMS enterprise is operating with defined processes to conform to regulatory requirements and each task within a system analysis is applied to a regulatory requirement and followed up with a quality control system.


An airline or airport operating with an SMS has at the least an SMS Manual in place that includes multiple processes conforming to regulatory requirements. An SMS manual contains at a minimum a safety policy, a process for setting goals and for measuring the attainment of those goals, a process for identifying hazards to aviation, a process for ensuring

that personnel are trained and competent to perform their duties, a process for analyzing of hazards, incidents and accidents and for taking corrective actions to prevent their recurrence, a document containing all safety management system processes and a process for making personnel aware of their responsibilities with respect to them, a quality assurance program, a process for periodic reviews or audits, and any additional requirements for the safety management system.

In addition, the SMS manual contains specific roles and responsibilities for the person managing the safety management system. These responsibilities are to maintain a reporting system for collecting information related to hazards, incidents and accidents, identify hazards and carry out risk management analyses of those hazards, investigate, analyze and identify the cause or probable cause of all hazards, incidents and accidents, maintain a safety data system by electronic means to monitor and analyze trends in hazards, incidents and accidents, and monitors, at defined intervals, and evaluate the results of corrective actions. An SMS manager also monitor the concerns of the civil aviation industry in respect of safety and their perceived effect on the Certificate Holder (CH), and determine the adequacy of the training for the person managing the safety management system and for personnel assigned duties under the safety management system. 

An SMS manager determines what, if any, corrective actions are required and carry out those actions, keeps records of any determination made, and the reason for it. The responsibility of an SMS manager closes the Plan-Do-Check-Act cycle by notifying the CH of any systemic deficiency and of the corrective action taken. A systemic deficiency includes the implementation of a new system to manage the safety management system.

A Certificate Holder lay their foundation from a blueprint of regulatory requirements and builds their SMS system on top of their foundation. The system must be a stable system, where minor deviations are detected as drift, and special cause variations are analyzed within the context of the SMS system with corrective action plans. If a change leading to an identified special cause variations were intended by the airline or airport, the corrective action also includes a safety case for change. A change could be a policy change, process change, or a change in acceptable practices. When drift, or deviations goes unattended, or unmonitored, an AE would have a difficult time to capture that their SMS had fallen into noncompliance. Conventional wisdom is that a previous accepted SMS manual conforms to regulatory requirements, and that new changes to the system does not affect SMS compliance.

An accountable executive is responsible for operations or activities authorized under the certificate and accountable on behalf of the certificate holder for meeting the requirements of the regulations. Without in-depth knowledge of applicable regulations and how operational processes affects these requirements, an AE may take a non-conforming turn at the fork in the road. Generally speaking, a sole proprietor business owner, or a CEO of a corporation review their financial statements regularly. At some point a demand is placed on personnel to assess expenses and find methods and areas to reduce expenses. When analyzing the safety management system, there were zero hazard reports, zero incident reports, zero accident reports and zero concerns raised by personnel about safety in operations. For an untrained eye, when analyzing the SMS with zero results, the cost of operating with an SMS system that does not produce results should be reduced, or eliminated. Since the elimination mitigation of an SMS is unavailable due to regulatory requirements, the prior step backwards is to mitigate the SMS. There are several ways to mitigate an SMS, but a common business solutions are to eliminate non-essential tasks expenses and eliminate tasks that are producing zero results. By eliminating task, such as the task conformance matrix, a new SMS system is linked to the SMS manual. This system is a conforming system, but since it is a totally new system put in place, all prior data, corrective actions and system analyses are invalidated. When a new system is put in place of how to operate an SMS, an airline or airport starts their SMS process all over again.

Simply said, when processes are removed, when a cloudbased SMS service provider is changed, the data collation system is changed, the analysis system is changed or when operational processes are changed for other than identified improvement changes, another first-time gap analysis is needed. Since results are abstract, it is an ongoing uphill battle to raise support for an effective safety management system that does not identify occurrences. An SMS requires hazards, incidents, and accidents to earn this support.

OffRoadPilots

Saturday, December 10, 2022

Santa’s Just Culture

Santa’s Just Culture

By OffRoadPilots

On 15 March, 1960, Santa Claus was on a reconnaissance trip to review his last delivery trip, and verification that he had not forgotten or left someone out this time. Since Santa implemented the SMS (Streamlined Mission Service), he would do a verification trip, or a quality assurance of his deliveries to learn from the past and improve for next deliveries. Since the SMS was implemented, Santa also does triennial travel audits of the operations during the month of March. On this day in March, the reindeers suddenly lost all their flying powers. Santa had been so busy with the quality assurance program and audit preparations that he had forgotten to tell the elves to feed the reindeers that morning, and they ran out of power. This was an embarrassing moment for Santa. He was known all over the world for timely deliveries, safe transportation, except for a few roof-top crashes, and with a unique quality to know what presents people in different areas of the world wants. When the power ran out, all electrical systems also failed, including Rudolph’s red nose landing light. All Santa know at that time was that he was somewhere where it was very cold, very flat and many lakes, so he established a nice three degrees straight in approach into the unknown. 

It was a dark night, but Santa had faith in the reindeer autonomous landing system, which was powered by an onboard emergency-elf who generated power by running on a treadmill. Without lights, without a glideslope and without any visible clues on the ground, Santa prepared for the worst. One hazard Santa had identified in his SMS, was that a total power failure was a real probability and gliding to roof-tops without power was implemented in his new training program. It was the SMS Director, Mrs. Santa who discovered in her accident reviews that many of the roof tops incidents were due to lack of power for the hoof-reversals to assist braking a higher speeds. After many glide-approaches, the reindeers became very proficient in hitting their landing spots. But this time it was dak, which they had not experienced before. Santa and Mrs. Santa conducted their no-red-nose power approach scenarios by fist establishing s risk classification number, a risk analysis for a safety risk level, a root cause analysis and at the conclusion, a system analysis of the approach. 

 

Santa could now see the ground, but he had no manual control of the autonomous landing system, so he buckled up the best he could and prepared for a crash landing. The system worked well and commanded the reindeers to flare at exactly the right time and it was a smooth landing. After all the snow was cleared and Santa was looking around, he could see nothing else by snow covered land. He knew he had landed on a lake, and with his extensive knowledge of world geography, he knew exactly what lake it was. It was actually his favourite lakes for summer fishing, and he had been there several times. He had landed in his favorite narrows fishing spot at 466212.95E, 6089107.56N, 48U. Some years earlier a bush pilot flew him in a float plane to this spot, and the pilot did the worst water landing ever. Santa’s friend who came on the fishing trip was a senator and named the landing the Norwegian landing, since he had spent time in the Norwegian Sea with high waves. Santa jumped out of his sleigh and thanked Rudolph and the other reindeers for their smooth landing. After he had looked over the crash site, he got angry and wanted to punish the responsible elf. Luckily, Santa had a direct elf-to-elf telephone and could instantly communicate with Mrs. Santa. When Santa asked her for the name of the responsible elf, she answered that this is not how we run our Streamlined Mission Service (SMS) in a just culture. She also informed Santa that he was the Accountable Elf, and needed to follow the same process as everyone else when conducting root cause analyses. Santa then understood that he could not change a risk level just by the stroke of a pen, but it required hard work. 

 

Santa has struggled with the just culture principles since they implemented SMS. Just culture is a different behavioral concept and must become lasting habits to achieve positive, sustainable change. Generally speaking, there are two types of organizational cultures. The old way is the blame culture, and the new way is the just culture. The old way blame culture is simply to blame the last link in the chain for the occurrence, lack of competency, incompetent to follow procedures and the root cause for the catastrophic evens. A simple old-way example is when a Santa in training was blamed for a crash when both Santa and the Santa trainee were focused on a hoof-down and locked light malfunction, and failed to stay in the air. The blame culture is simple and easy, but human errors or other negatives are not useful for intervention to improve safety. 



In Santa’s SMS there is a just culture and a place where there is trust, learning, accountability, and information sharing. Santa comprehends the principles that elves nature is to resist changes and that Santa and Mr. Santa must take the very fist step, which starts with an action and not words, text messages or social media shows. A just culture change is to move from known into unknown. Some of the senior elves are in opposition to Santa’s SMS because they do not see their own benefits by changing. There is also uncertainty and insecurity when moving into unknown territories and there is opposition to the way changes to a just culture was presented. Santa’s objective is to instill trust since trust is a key ingredient for a successful change. Trust must be earned, and Santa realized that it cannot be implemented organizational wide supported by any other platform. 

 

Santa implemented four just culture platforms in his streamlined missions service (SMS) system. 

 

Trust

·      Believe in reliability

o   Without trust there cannot be expectations to perform

Learning

·      Self improvements

o   Organizations conduct training, but an individual can only improve by learning

§  Without trust, learning becomes difficult

Accountability

·      Forwardlooking accountability

o   With trust and learning, accountability to tasks becomes possible

Information sharing

·      Learn from others and the past

o   Without trust, learning and accountability there is no valuable information to be shared

 

The sun was rising in the East and finally help arrived for Santa. The rescue crew brought food, dry clothes (a used Santa suit) and tools to repair the broken systems. Santa enjoyed the company talked about the old days and all the landing he did over many centuries on the roof of their homes. This was the first time anyone had actually seen Santa and his reindeers. When the repair was done, the snow was cleared off the ice, Santa wanted to do a taxi-run to feel the condition of the ice surface. However, the repair was so well done, that when Santa reach 70 elves-steps per hour, the reindeers lifted off and he was on his way back to the new secret location since the pandemic. 


Santa arrived at home and had a long conversation with Mrs. Clause, who is the SMS Manager and elves, including their process coordinator. Santa did a root cause analysis, since the incident was a special cause variation, and his opinion was to site electrical failure as the root cause, since that caused the reindeer autonomous landing system. Mrs. Santa opposed strongly, but Santa demanded he had the right as the Accountable Elf to decide the root cause by the stroke of a pen. When the elves heard about the root cause, one of the elves came forward and admitted that he had forgotten to feed the reindeers and that is the reason they ran out of power. With Mrs. Santa’s support to the elves, they proposed the root cause to be the reindeer feeding system processes itself and 40% contributed by organizational factors, when compared to elves-factors (15%), supervision factors (25%) and environmental factors (20%). 

 

Santa reviewed his observations and was glad that he knew the area without relying on the GPS (Genuine Path for Santa) for travel routes. Over several centuries Santa had travelled the globe and visited every home, child and adult in the world and provided them with gift. There were no such thing as good kids or bad kids when Santa delivered. This year Santa had heard rumors that the GTS folks are changing the route to only include the good kids. However, within a Santa SMS system there is a just culture and he plan to turn off the GPS route, use his personal rout knowledge and visit all the kids in the world.  

 

Several years later Santa’s emergency landing on a remote and cold lake was published in the newspapers. The newspaper story was very different from the actual events and blamed the reindeers for the emergency. When Santa read the story, he smiled and felt good about living in an SMS just culture where issues can be resolved and improved.  

 

 

OffRoadPilots

 



Saturday, November 26, 2022

Accepting or Rejecting Risks

 Accepting or Rejecting Risks

By OffRoadPilots

Accepting or rejecting risks is a fundamental principle in a successful safety management system (SMS). A person managing the safety management system is expected to maintain a process for identifying hazards to aviation safety and for evaluating and managing the associated risks and ensuring that personnel are trained and competent to perform their duties as they apply to the safety management system. This includes training for both the accountable executive and SMS manager, in addition to other airport and airline operations personnel.


A level of risk is an inherent element of aviation safety and there are several types of risks to consider when accepting or rejecting risks. One type of risk may take precedence over another type even if it is not directly associated with operations. Risk control strategies are beyond accepting or rejecting a risk, it is to justify control actions based on defined criteria. There are five categories of risks. The total risk is the sum of identified and unidentified risks. Identified risks are risks which has been determined through various analysis techniques. A task for the SMS manger is to identify all possible risks. Unidentified risks are risk not yet identified. Some unidentified risks are identified by occurrences, and some risk will never be known. Unacceptable risks are risks that are beyond a limit to what is acceptable to an SMS enterprise. Unacceptable risks may be controlled or eliminated. Acceptable risks are identified risks that is allowed by the SMS enterprise to persist without further engineering actions. Residual risks are the left-over risks after all other options has been fully explored. The residual risk is the sum of acceptable risks and unidentified risks and integrated in airport or airline operations. 

 

Conventional wisdom is that the safety management system is about safety, while the fact is that the SMS is about processes, and how things are done. The expected output of these processes is to eliminate harm and create prosperity. When decisions are based on emotional safety principles, rather than data points of facts, the end result may change risk levels to unknown risk level, or unmanageable risk levels.


The AE is the final decisionmaker to accept or reject risks, system analyses or predictive SMS operations plans. Accepting or rejecting risk is not an authority to deviate from any of safety risk management (SRM) processed, or to base accepting or rejecting on common sense and prior practices. In the past, several practices which were acceptable for an airport operator are unacceptable today within an SMS environment. Airport operators has a responsibility for their airport operations to be compatible with aircraft operations, which is the purpose of an airport. In the past, a NOTAM that a runway was covered with ice or snow contaminants were a sufficient action. However, today within an SMS-world, an airport operator must comply with the airport standards, which includes a friction index requirement, or close the runway. An AE may be the final authority, but when risk acceptances are based on prior practices, both safety in operations, and certificate compliance are jeopardized. Risk acceptance based on prior practices, with the justification that it was done before without incidents doesn’t hold water. In addition, data from prior practices applied to hazard classifications and risks may be outdated. 

 

An easy trap for an AE to fall into is to believe that they have the authority to change a risk level by the stroke of a pen. Nothing can be further from the truth. When an AE wishes to change a risk level, they must follow established processes for root cause analysis, risk assessment and system analysis, which include a signature page that they rejected a risk level advise from the SMS manager. In most organizations, an AE is the President of the company and the business management expert. An AE is not the data analysis expert but is still the person with final authority to change a risk level. Should an AE reject a recommended risk level, operations affected by the hazard in question is paused until an acceptable risk decision is made. On the other hand, an accountable executive has the prerogative to manipulate risk decisions after reviewing other apparent risks, or identified residual risks, and combined exceeds the effect of proposed risk control. 


The role of an SMS manager is not to lower a risk level due to pressure, but to assess mitigation options for assigned risk level, and options for processes to conform to regulatory requirements and acceptable to the AE. A trap for an SMS manager to fall into, is to change the risk level to the demand of an accountable executive. When an SMS manager is a non-employee at a remote location, temptations to manipulate risk levels are reduced. In a just culture there is no personal liability associated with the position of an AE as this individual represents the certificate holder. The certificate holder retains all liability for non-compliance with the regulations. It is crucial to the success of an SMS that an AE works within the just-culture principles of trust, learning, accountability and information sharing when considering recommended risks controls. 

 

A purpose of regulations is to establish operational limits acceptable to the interest of public safety as determined by the regulatory authority. Public safety may be a floating object and change with circumstances. In the aviation industry this became evident during the pandemic period, where regulatory aviation limits were changed to justify the cause of a greater threat to public safety. This makes risk control measures only applicable under the regulatory jurisdiction. Unless there are international agreements, a just culture, or non-punitive policy is not applicable beyond the regulatory jurisdiction. For airlines, an acceptable risk control within its own borders my be acceptable, while the same risk control internationally may be rejected, or in worst case a criminal action. A recent event occurred when a charter flight crew discovered an indication in the cockpit that something was wrong in the avionics bay. During an inspection of the bay, a duffel bags with illegal substances were discovered, and the flight crew reported this to the authorities. Since the crew was outside of the jurisdiction of their safety management system they were detained for seven months.

 

Accepting or rejecting risks is therefore more than just organizational related, it is also related to areas of operations, wherever that might take you. A principle of a successful SMS is that hazards are locally identified.  

 

 

OffRoadPilots




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