Saturday, August 6, 2022

When Safety Gets Involved

 When Safety Gets Involved

By OffRoadPilots

Safety has been involved in aviation since the first flight in 1903 and since then safety result randomly, but without directions, were able to improve. Airlines did what they could to improve safety but were unsuccessful in total elimination of accidents. Over time, as aircraft became larger and more of them at the airports, airside accidents became systemic errors. When operators become overly focused on safety, but they do not know what to do with it, then safety has become its worst enemy. No one wants to expose themselves to danger, but the real hazard when overestimating risks is overcontrolling processes to remain safe. 


Overcontrolling safety is a common reaction to opinion-based root cause analyses. When a root cause is based on preliminary assumptions, there is a strong temptation to overcontrol safety to ensure, in their own mind, that everything possible was done for immediate safety improvements. After a severe aircraft occurrence everyone wants answers, but impatience and instant gratification to find out why an aircraft crashed is a hazard to aviation safety. When the accident investigation process is not understood, management and other positions in an organization who has been assigned safety oversight may demand solutions right now, without knowing all the facts. In support of their demand for a solution, they could make irrational statements with reference to safety, and place blame and responsibilities on lower-level personnel for lack of safety management. A simple solution to protect a high-level position is to play the safety-card. The safety card is played when safety becomes the driving force of operations without considering facts. In addition, the safety card is often played when safety is not defined, measured or when operational pressure is applied from a third party or social media. 

 

There are no reasons for an immediate finding, cause of accident, or root cause after a single engine aircraft crash, or a large airliner crash. One crash does not render the aviation industry unsafe or demands major changes to operations. If an aircraft crash due to an unreported and unidentified wind share with an extreme change in wind velocity, or an aircraft crash due to contaminated surfaces, there is no justification to cease all aircraft operations, since the aviation industry has already established a track record for being safe. That an investigation is ongoing, and the cause of the crash and root cause are still to be determined, does not imply that an airline must remain idle until an investigation report is published. However, an enterprise is compelled by their accountability to the safety management system to conduct an internal analysis of human factors, organizational factors, supervision factors and environmental factors to determine the factor with highest probability impact on events leading up to the crash. An internal analysis, prior to the final accident report, is a probability analysis as opposed to a root cause analysis. 

 

There are multiple phases to an aircraft accident investigation. The most common phases are the field phase, the examination and analysis phase, and the report phase. 

 

In the field phase, an investigator in charge is appointed and an investigation team is formed. The nature of the occurrence determines the makeup of the investigation team, but it can comprise operations, equipment, maintenance, engineering, scientific, and human performance experts. The number of investigators needed to investigate depends on the nature of the event, severity and composition of parties involved. During the field phase the public is informed, the crash site is secured, and pictures or videos are taken of the wreckage and crash site. Overhead drones is a commonly used tool to document facts. Initially, witnesses, airport personnel, company personnel or government personnel are interviewed. Accepting to be interviewed is voluntarily, and information learned from interviews are not used for disciplinary actions against pilots, mechanics or other personnel involved. After the initial facts are documented, the wreckage is removed for further examination by the investigative authorities. The regulator does not investigate aircraft accidents. 


The examination and analysis phase is away from the accident site. This phase consists of examining the company, aircraft, flight crew, training records, maintenance records and safety management system records. SMS is relatively new in the aviation industry but becomes a vital part of an aircraft accident to analyze applied processes. Parts and components of the wreckage may be sent to a laboratory for analysis, such as material strength, metallurgical analyses and both destructive, and non-destructive testing. Any possibilities, but also unthinkable options are analyzed. The examination and analysis phase is an unbiased process without predetermined conclusions. This phase also consists of reading and analyze recorders and other data, create simulations, and reconstruct events, review autopsy and toxicology reports, conduct further interviews, determine the sequence of events, identify safety deficiencies, and update interested parties of progress in the ongoing investigation. If, at any stage of the investigation, the investigator identifies safety deficiencies, they may inform those who can address the problem right away. 


The final phase of an investigation is the report phase where the investigation report is drafted. Selected members of a committee review the draft report and may approve it, ask for amendments, or return it to the investigators for further work. A report may be rejected for any reason but may also approved for any reason. Once there is a consensus to the draft report, it is sent to designated reviewers on a confidential basis for comment. A designated reviewer may be any person at an air carrier, airport, corporation, manufacturer, or association, who, in the opinion of the review committee, will contribute to the completeness and accuracy of the report. After such review with comments, report is amended as required. After this review, the review committee now approve the report to be released to affected parties. For single engine aircraft crash, this reporting process may take 9-12 months to complete, while for a large airline crash it may take 3-5 years. Since a report is a final and conclusive report, any evidence and documents and records are destroyed. 

 

Overcontrolling safety, or when safety gets involved, is to fall into the instant gratification trap and conclude with a root cause before facts are known. Prior to SMS, the safety manager had all powers, and root cause statement that included the word “safety” was accepted as facts. With the implementation of a safety management system, safety was no longer verbal statements, but an intelligent system where process maturity was allowed prior to making changes, or control, specific item identified. 

A safety management system without statistical process control analysis capability (SPC), is still operating in the pre-SMS era. It is crucial for the validity of an SMS to understand the difference between a process that is in statistical control (stable) and a process that is out of control (unstable). In processes there are variations. A common cause variation is a variation in the process that is required for the process to function as designed, or to function within the laws of nature, or the laws of physics. A special cause variation is a variation introduced to a process that is not a required variation for the process to function as designed. The migratory bird season is a common cause variation and required for the process to work and causing more bird activities around airports in the spring and fall. A flat tire when driving to work is a special cause variation, since it is not a variation required for the process to travel to work.    

If this month's aviation incidents were higher than last month, a question to ask is what happened? This is a common question heard today in many organizations, but many do not know how to answer this. A major barrier to the use of control charts is that SMS enterprises do not understand the information contained in variation. When they understand this information, they will realize that the type of action required to reduce special cause variation is totally different from the type of action required to reduce common cause variation. Control charts also helps SMS enterprises to understand why costs decrease as quality improves, and that pointing faults and blame at personnel is totally wrong.

 

There are generally speaking two types of mistakes when looking at data. One mistake is to assume that a data point is due to a special cause when in fact it is due to common cause, and the second type of mistake is to assume that a data point is due to common cause when in fact it is due to special causes. There are different corrective action plans for a special cause variation and a common cause variation. A special cause variation needs to be removed, while a common cause variation is to be managed within a safety management system.   

 

When Safety Gets Involved, is when safety makes corrections, or eliminate a variation in a stable process, or when safety makes overcontrolling the only acceptable procedure. Simplified, when overcontrolling, or a desire for instant gratification in safety is happening, the next control point has moved, and will continue to move farther and farther away from the issue until there is a total and unexpended failure. It is crucial for the success of an SMS to know what battles to fight, but determining a root cause to a common cause variation is not one of them. 

 

 

OffRoadPilots

 



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